[予想]菊花賞(G1)。コスモバルクを差すのはどれだ?
長丁場のマラソンレースで掛かる気性がどうかという心配はあるけれど、普通に、コスモバルクがその持てる力を発揮すれば、ここまでの戦績を素直に信頼して、やっぱり中心視。
◎5ホオキパウェーブ(横山典):長丁場狙い済まして
○15コスモバルク(五十嵐冬):実績一番
▲14ハイアーゲーム(蝦名):ダービーだけ走れば
△1オペラシチー(佐藤哲):まくり気味でなだれ込めば
△10ハーツクライ(武豊):確実に最後、伸びるけど、間に合わない(多分)
レースのイメージは、二冠馬ミホノブルボンを小柄なライスシャワーが破った1992年の菊花賞。鍛えて強くなった15コスモバルクがミホノブルボンで、長丁場を使われて来たホオキパウェーブがライスシャワーのつもり。
ま、春二冠のミホノブルボンに比べれば、コスモバルクの弥生賞(G2)勝ち、皐月賞(G1)二着は、まだ、物足りないし、ダービー二着のライスシャワーに比すなら、同じくダービー二着のハーツクライかも知れないのだが。この辺は、10ハーツクライの鞍上、武豊騎手が、この秋、一番人気で臨んだアドマイヤドンの南部杯(G1)とダンスインザムードの秋華賞(G1)、共に結果を出せず、流れが来てないという事で、今回も、きっと、四着だよ、という希望的観測。ただ、昨日の富士S(G3)でのアドマイヤマックスは、お見事!だったんだよなぁ。
買い目は3連単で。
5-15-14
5-14-15
5-14-1
5-15-1
15-5-14
15-14-5
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- [予想]有馬記念は「陽水トリビュート」?(2004.12.26)
- [回顧]阪神牝馬S(G2)、CBC賞(G2)、フェアリーS(G3)。全部外す。(2004.12.21)
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